Douglas Campbell, founder of Insight Prediction, here. Thanks for the clarification. So, obviously, I am quite biased on Insight being "not nice to use", but I'm curious why you find Insight Prediction on the same level as as Augur! and polymarket! on this dimension, and much worse than manifold markets. It's true that at Insight Prediction, as at Poly, a few hundred dollar bet can move the market. But, at Manifold Markets, you can't bet anything if I'm not mistaken.
Also, my personal experience at Polymarket was much better than at Augur. That said, in my view, trading at Polymarket is complicated, and it takes at least 20x more time than a transaction at Insight Prediction. If you'd like to buy something at Polymarket, you must: (1) first add liquidity, (2) remove the liquidity you just added, and then (3) sell the cheaper shares. That's a 3 step process, and each step takes at least 10-15 seconds to process if not more. Sure, if you happen to be buying the cheaper shares, or if you don't mind paying more in fees, you can just do this in one step. But, if you are buying the more expensive shares, and you care about fees, doing that 3 step process will typically result in at least one error message. I would say this happens to me at least 50% of the time (typically on pulling liquidity). I would also argue that it's easier to deposit and withdrawal at Insight Prediction than at Polymarket, where you are forced to use the Matic chain. We have many different ways of depositing at Insight Prediction. For the crypto-cautious, if you reach out to us we can also help you deposit via Paypal or a bank transfer.
Wasn't this the basis of the 30% claim, not the separate paper that came out several years later? https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/david-ignatius-more-chatter-than-needed/2013/11/01/1194a984-425a-11e3-a624-41d661b0bb78_story.html
Douglas Campbell, founder of Insight Prediction, here. Thanks for the clarification. So, obviously, I am quite biased on Insight being "not nice to use", but I'm curious why you find Insight Prediction on the same level as as Augur! and polymarket! on this dimension, and much worse than manifold markets. It's true that at Insight Prediction, as at Poly, a few hundred dollar bet can move the market. But, at Manifold Markets, you can't bet anything if I'm not mistaken.
Also, my personal experience at Polymarket was much better than at Augur. That said, in my view, trading at Polymarket is complicated, and it takes at least 20x more time than a transaction at Insight Prediction. If you'd like to buy something at Polymarket, you must: (1) first add liquidity, (2) remove the liquidity you just added, and then (3) sell the cheaper shares. That's a 3 step process, and each step takes at least 10-15 seconds to process if not more. Sure, if you happen to be buying the cheaper shares, or if you don't mind paying more in fees, you can just do this in one step. But, if you are buying the more expensive shares, and you care about fees, doing that 3 step process will typically result in at least one error message. I would say this happens to me at least 50% of the time (typically on pulling liquidity). I would also argue that it's easier to deposit and withdrawal at Insight Prediction than at Polymarket, where you are forced to use the Matic chain. We have many different ways of depositing at Insight Prediction. For the crypto-cautious, if you reach out to us we can also help you deposit via Paypal or a bank transfer.
What about Kalshi?