Jul 12, 2022Liked by Nuño Sempere

Do you agree with my view that there's a strange absence of predictions related to abortion in the post-Dobbs world, specifically in the on-the-ground consequentialist sense of predicting medium-term change in number of US abortions, birth rate, pill availability, and the like? Feels like we've had a lot of these for Covid and Ukraine, but the abortion-forecasting dialogue (to the extent it exists) is only about Supreme Court cases and legislation.

I'm interested in hearing if anyone has put together a bunch of these forecasts. In the meantime, I've launched a mini-contest to fill the gap: https://forms.gle/UEejKBaBvwJQxn5k7

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