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Ryan Beck's avatar

"The Metaculus community currently forecasts that just under 10M (a) infections will be estimated to have occurred worldwide before 2023, with a broad range of 1.8M to 18M estimated to encompass the middle 50% of the probability distribution."

I'm not sure where these numbers came from, I'm seeing 260,000 as the community median with IQR of 91k to 960k.

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zeze's avatar

Great stuff as always

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