JurisTrade is a litigation marketplace, Southeast Asian gambling & cybercrime gangs look competent, adj.news platform improving, now has good API docs and indices
Re: forecasting in organizations, Elon Musk is historically known for his ridiculously optimistic forecasts. His companies historically miss the forecasts, but still end up doing better than anyone outside expected. I feel like there might be a lesson here.
Re: forecasting in organizations, Elon Musk is historically known for his ridiculously optimistic forecasts. His companies historically miss the forecasts, but still end up doing better than anyone outside expected. I feel like there might be a lesson here.
Good point!
Zvi link links to wrong thing (more Reddit discussion about parameter insensitivity in AI 2027)
Thanks, should have been https://thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-2027-responses